Monday, December 14, 2009

Chris Bush Analyzes The Governor's Race

Originally Posted on the MD-Lib Discussion Board by Doug McNeil


Note: Chris Bush is a well-known Maryland blogger who writes extensively
about utility regulation and other political issues. He's a progressive who
favors re-regulation to reverse the recent electricity rate increases, which
(as he correctly notes) is not a position that we agree with. But he likes
us anyway, and he's happy that we're running.

I'm pleased to see that the word about our campaign is starting to get
out, even at this early stage, and that it's generating considerable interest
on the left. But I think it's premature to conclude that Ehrlich is
finished and that we might throw the election to O'Malley.

The following is excerpted from his "Electricity Crisis 12-11-09."

-- Doug McNeil

End of the Road for Ehrlich: Libertarians Running Candidate for Governor

~ Bobby was Already Behind in the Polls to O'Malley- Even though MOM
Himself in Trouble Electorally
~ w/ a Libertarian Candidate Running for Governor, Too, Ehrlich will NOT
Win for Sure
~ the Libertarian Party has Nominated Susan Gaztanaga for Governor in 2010
~ The Libertarians Certainly Will Peel Off Ehrlich Votes- the LAST Thing
that Bobby Needs
~ the Tea Party Activists May Also Turn to the Libertarians as Well-or
Possibly the Constitution Party- as the GOP has Become so Corrupt in Maryland
~ AND, Recent Polling by Rasmussen- as Referenced on WBAL 1090 AM's C4
Show on Wed., Dec. 9, 2009, During the 1:37pm Segment- Indicate that MORE
Folks Would Back the Tea Party, if It Were on the Ballot, than the Republican
Party
~ In Maryland, the Libertarian Party or Constitution Party (which Does NOT
Yet Have a Guv Nominee) Will be the Platform to Manifest Those Tea Party
Sentiments
~ While Susan Gaztanaga is Anti-Regulation in General- NOT Good News for
BGE Customers- She's Also HONEST and Would NOT be a Lackey for Constellation
Energy Like O'Malley AND Ehrlich
~ Also, Susan's Husband Lorenzo- Who's Running for Congress in the 2nd
Congressional District Against Dutch Ruppersberger (Chris Bush Supported
Gaztanaga for the Same Contest in 2008)- SUPPORTS Decentralized, Cheap Energy
for Households, the Kind that Comes from Solar
~ Assuming that Susan is of Like View, At Least There'd be a Governor
Trying to Help with Individual Homeowner's Electricity Bills Via Solar
~ However, Solar is NOT a Viable Alternative Currently- ONLY when
Ultra-Thin Film Solar Foil Becomes Available Will this Change- UNless there are Tax
Credits and Renewable Energy Credits: More in a Future EC on Gaztanaga's
View on Solar and Renewable Energy
~ As a Result, the GOP Should Run a PRO-Regulation Candidate for Governor,
Like EJ Pipkin- Who, UNlike Ehrlich, does NOT Have Baggage and Thus COULD
Beat O'Malley: if Not, there's NO REASON Why Phant Voters Should NOT Cast
Their Ballots for the Libertarian Candidate Instead, Again, as Polls Show
Ehrlich LOSING to MOM
~ Many Tea Party Activists in Maryland are ALSO Anti-BGE, so Pipkin's
Position Will Have more Resonance for Them (Although Tea Baggers Tend to be
More Right-Wing than Pipkin on Other Issues)
~ On the Other Hand, Voting for Robert Ehrlich Will be Throwing AWAY One's
Vote Should the Bobster's Arrogance Tempt Him into Running Again
~ Chris Bush Calls on the Green Party to Run a PRO-REGULATION Candidate
for Governor as Well, to Pressure O'Malley on the Left
~ This Writer is NOT in Favor of Splitting the Republican Base to Give
O'Malley a Re-Election
~ Indeed, for You Progressives Out There, Let's Get Behind a Green
Candidate to Pull Votes from O'Malley, Which Will Encourage Anti-GOP Conservatives
to Vote Libertarian
~ Some of Those Independent Righties Might Not Vote Libertarian- Assuming
Pipkin is the Nominee w/ a Real Chance to Win- if they Think O'Malley Will
Benefit, But if They See Progressives Gaining Ground on the Left, They'll
Feel More Comfortable Breaking w/ Ehrlich and/or Pipkin, and Sending the
GOP a Message
~ Picture This: a 4 Party Contest for Governor in 2010: Dem, Repub,
Libertarian, Green
~ the Political Environment Only IMPROVES if the Two Party Duopoly is
Broken Up!!!!
~ (NOTE: more on the "Tea Bagger" controversy, including a recent segment
on The Rachel Maddow Show on MSNBC on 12-04-09, as well as an email from
the caller to WBAL 1090 AM who started it all, James Madigan)-cb
~ (NOTE 2: yours truly does NOT speak FOR, nor speak on behalf, of ANY
other group, individual- including Sen. Pipkin or Susan Gaztanaga)-cb
~ (Source: independentpoliticalreport.com; airamerica.com link; "EC
12-03-09" email attachment)
~ Analysis by Chris Bush

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